SA #1: MSCI – Even Quality Can Become Too Expensive

MSCI: Even Quality Can Become Too Expensive
November 9, 2022


  • On October 25, MSCI reported quite strong 9M numbers and, for the moment, defended its high multiples (LTM P/E about 44).
  • In this article, I focus on a high-level valuation of MSCI to decide if it’s worth analyzing the stock in more detail.
  • Using a standard DCF-WACC model, market data for interest rates, and reasonable estimates for future fundamentals suggests massive overvaluation (theoretical downside of 54%).
  • The result is very similar when comparing MSCI to common valuation multiples of a peer group. Depending on the multiple, the company trades at a premium of up to 60%.
  • MSCI is undeniably a very high-quality company. But at the current levels, the company just appears way too expensive. So I am not yet interested.
Read the Full Article on Seeking Alpha

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